Class 12 - Measuring Sustainable Development
Lecture taken from Sustainable Development (Chapter 6),
edited by B. Nath, L. Hens, and D. Devuyst, VubPress
Two major aspects to take into consideration when forming indicators of sustainable development:
Environmental/ecological aspect
Socioeconomic aspect
Sustainability indicators may cause problems
Must be complete and practical
Requires a lot of data (expensive)
Puts developing countries at a disadvantage (don=t have the resources to collect and analyze data)
Implementation of global sustainability indicators is a long way from being realized
However, without such indicators, how do we know how well we are doing?
Environmental Indicators
Goeteyn maintains that environmental sustainability can be measured using the following data:
P = Number of people
GS = Goods and services
ER = Energy and resources
EI = Environmental impact
GS/P
gives and indicator of our consumption pattern
ER/GS
looks at the productivity
EI/ER
looks at the environmental impact for the energy and other resources consumed
Goeteyn suggests that sustainable development involves minimizing these factors
Environmental utilization space (EUS) - total amount of resources that can be used and polluting substances released without threatening the sustainability of environmental functions and ecosystems
Quantity of natural resources and services which the ecosystem can provide without reaching the productive capacity of generating irreversible damage
How do you quantify the Environmental Utilization Space (EUS)?
From the Dutch Council for Environment and Nature Research
* 50 years reserve of oil left (not accounting for replacements)
* 30 years reserve of copper
* Critical acidification load in Western Europe = 1,400-2,400 acid equivalents
Current deposition rate = 5,000-6,000 acid equivalents
* Annual depletion of soils by erosion, exhaustion, and salination = 24 billion tons/yr (another reports 75 billion tons/yr on the high side)
Compared with the natural loss of 9.3 billion tons/yr
* 50,000 species become extinct each year
* 20 million ha of forests are destroyed each year
* Irrigation per capita has declined since 1978
* Food per capita (based on grains) has declined since 1980
* Fossil energy use per capita has declined since 1990
Use of environmental problem indicators to show how we are doing
Example: CO2 equivalents
Include CFCs, NOx, CH4 which are expressed in terms of the CO2 effects on the environment
Used as an indicator of global warming or climate change
See figures 2 and 3, p.168
Social Indicators
Simple indicator of social development is the number of malnourished people in the world (currently 1.2 billion people, 20% of the world=s population)
Number of people at of below the poverty line (2 billion, 33 % of the world=s population)
One social sustainability indicator is called the Human Development Index (HDI) - Proposed by the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP)
Based on the following information:
National income
Average life expectancy
Level of education
Literacy rate
Average number of years of schooling
In 1993: US had the highest and Zaire the lowest HDI
HDI allows for comparisons between countries
Some basic drawbacks:
How can production, education and health be compared and evaluated on an equal basis with one factor?
External effects of production on the environment are not measured.
Economic Indicators
Basic measurement of the investment in production processes which use energy and natural resources in a more efficient way
Taking the value of the environment into account in the choice of consumer goods
Both of these concepts require calculation of environmental costs
* Ecological costs (depletion of natural resources)
* Production costs
* Waste treatment/remediation
Look at the modified net national farm income for South Africa
Table 1. p. 170
The “green” Gross National Product is often called a Sustainable National Product (SNP)
Use of the SNP offers advantages from an ecological point of view, however, very detailed cost/benefit analyses are required
Also have the traditional problems regarding placing a monetary value on environmental damage
Importance of Indicators
First step in connecting human activities to the health and vitality of the natural ecosystem
Provide feedback on the direction that a community is moving (toward or away from sustainability)
What is a good sustainability indicator or metric?
Consistently reflects the status of a significant and fundamental characteristic
Well understood and accepted by the community
Statistically valid and practically measurable (defensible and backed by logic)
Clear, understandable links to other indicators
Represents or directly relates to community values
Sustainable Seattle Case Study
A group called “Sustainable Seattle” began at the Global Tomorrow Coalition conference on sustainability held in Seattle in November 1990
12 individuals met and decided to establish and track the progress of sustainability goals
Expertise from city administrators, consultants, engineers, architects, business representatives, educators, scientists, and entrepreneurs was provided (over 50 people contributed)
Principals for creating the indicators:
* Use of existing data
Cheeper, easier to maintain, easier to get started
* Re-evaluate underlying assumptions
Check assumptions for existing data, understand basis
* Integrate long-term focus with short-term change
Concentrated on selecting indicators that could change in one year so that feedback was current. However the value of some indicators outweighed the need for rapid change.
* Relate indicators to the individual
Put on a per capita basis for individual comparison
* Identify direction of sustainability
Is the direction of change toward or away from sustainability
* Present indicators as a whole system
Don’t look at just one indicator - all are important
* Determine linkages
Identify and describe the relationships between indicators
Developed the following categories
* Resource consumption
* Economy
* Natural Environment
* Population
* Social Environment
* Education
* Transportation
* Public Safety
* Health
* Culture and Recreation
* Community Participation and Involvement
Sustainable Seattle proceeded in December 1992 to develop a list of indicators (190 civic leaders participated)
Developed 99 indicators
In 1993 the list was revised to 40 that met the data availability criteria
Primary groups were:
Environment
Population and Resources
Economy
Culture and Society
See Box 1, p. 192
See Figure 1, p. 193
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